Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston College Eagles v Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 16:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston College Eagles (Local)

Prediction 28.09%3.56fair odd
EV +5.33%
Edge +1.42%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.103%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%28.35%28.12%33.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.283.333.7536.36%30.47%30.08%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Visit)

Prediction 71.91%1.39fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -6.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.91%71.65%71.88%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.311.311.3678.74%76.14%76.34%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston College Eagles (Local): 28.09%; Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Visit): 71.91%. For Boston College Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +5.33%E +1.42%K +1.94%G +0.103%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.67%E -6.83%K -32.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 15:58
1xBet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -0.566%E -0.160%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.80%E -4.42%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -0.566%E -0.160%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -0.566%E -0.160%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:00
Caesars🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.69%E -0.483%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.80%E -4.42%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 15:59
MyBookie.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -1.69%E -0.483%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.95%E -6.21%K -28.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:58
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.52%E -5.01%K -21.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 15:59
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:58
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.52%E -5.01%K -21.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:00
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.08%E -3.85%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.36%E -3.28%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.36%E -3.28%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.36%E -3.28%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -5.80%E -4.42%K -18.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 15:59
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.52%E -5.01%K -21.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 15:59
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -22.76%E -8.27%K -13.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -2.20%E -1.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:00
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -22.76%E -8.27%K -13.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -2.20%E -1.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:00
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -22.76%E -8.27%K -13.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -2.20%E -1.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 30.94%1.12I 89.29%NM 69.06%29.3%2026-05-16 15:59