Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston College Eagles v California Golden Bears

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston College Eagles (Local)

Prediction 51.17%1.95fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -4.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.02%51.07%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.831.831.8755.56%54.72%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

California Golden Bears (Visit)

Prediction 48.83%2.05fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -5.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%48.98%48.93%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.911.9554.64%52.49%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston College Eagles (Local): 51.17%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 48.83%. For Boston College Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -4.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.68%E -4.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:09
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.68%E -4.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:00
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.68%E -4.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:18
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.75%E -2.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:03
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:09
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:09
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.39%E -4.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.24%E -3.25%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:29
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.39%E -4.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.24%E -3.25%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:34
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.39%E -4.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.24%E -3.25%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:34
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 15:09
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.27%E -2.71%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:24
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 15:19
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -10.64%E -5.81%K -12.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-03-21 16:49