Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats v UCF Knights

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 30.86%3.24fair odd
EV +0.293%
Edge +0.090%
Kelly +0.130%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%30.80%30.95%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.063.043.2533.90%32.72%32.89%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCF Knights (Visit)

Prediction 69.14%1.45fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -3.32%
Kelly -12.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.13%69.20%69.05%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.351.3875.19%74.07%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (Local): 30.86%; UCF Knights (Visit): 69.14%. For Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.293%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.293%E +0.090%K +0.130%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 18:59
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.04%E -6.05%K -24.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 16:00
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.04%E -6.05%K -24.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 16:05
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.04%E -6.05%K -24.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 16:05
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -4.95%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -7.35%E -5.49%K -21.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:15
MyBookie.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -6.19%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 16:10
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.59%E -3.32%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 19:40
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 01:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 16:05
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.04%E -6.05%K -24.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 21:00
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.59%E -3.32%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 58.33%1.40I 71.43%NM 41.67%71.4%2026-04-21 17:40