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Baylor Bears v West Virginia Mountaineers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baylor Bears (Local)
assuming max odds 3.40
West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.47
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baylor Bears (Local): 31.34%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 68.66%. For Baylor Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +6.55%E +1.93%K +2.73%G +0.179% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -10.05%E -7.67%K -32.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +3.42%E +1.04%K +1.49%G +0.051% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -9.37%E -7.10%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +3.42%E +1.04%K +1.49%G +0.051% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -10.05%E -7.67%K -32.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-13 23:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +0.285%E +0.089%K +0.129%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.99%E -5.97%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.31%E -5.41%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.31%E -5.41%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.31%E -5.41%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -10.05%E -7.67%K -32.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -6.92%E -2.33%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 23:28 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -9.43%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -3.87%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -9.43%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -3.87%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.25%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.87%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -15.38%E -5.70%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.442%E -0.305%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -16.95%E -6.40%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -1.81%E -1.27%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -19.46%E -7.57%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV +0.932%E +0.634%K +1.98%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 23:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64% | 1.9% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |