The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Baylor Bears v West Virginia Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baylor Bears (Local)

Prediction 38.84%2.57fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.35%38.99%38.89%40.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.402.392.5043.48%41.61%41.84%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 61.16%1.64fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.64%61.01%61.11%61.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.541.531.5966.23%64.99%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baylor Bears (Local): 38.84%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 61.16%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.59, with an expected value of -2.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.90%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.59%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.46%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.46%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 15:20
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.85%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.85%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:25
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.85%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:20
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.24%E -2.15%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 15:54
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 23:50
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.57%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 14:55
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.57%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 14:55
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.57%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 14:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.95%E -3.36%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.20%E -3.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:55
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.73%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.75%E -1.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 15:05
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.73%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:50
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.51%E -4.08%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.59%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.67%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.65%E -5.06%K -14.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 11:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%4.9%2026-03-15 15:45