The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Baylor Bears v UCF Knights

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baylor Bears (Local)

Prediction 43.00%2.33fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%42.98%43.00%44.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.182.202.2548.08%45.87%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCF Knights (Visit)

Prediction 57.00%1.75fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -5.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.17%57.02%57.00%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.651.651.6962.11%60.64%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baylor Bears (Local): 43.00%; UCF Knights (Visit): 57.00%. For Baylor Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -3.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.24%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.67%E -4.73%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 16:18
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.88%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 17:14
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.96%E -3.61%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 16:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.96%E -3.61%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 17:34
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.24%E -5.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:14
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.24%E -5.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:14
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.24%E -5.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:14
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -7.11%E -3.29%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.25%E -2.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 17:14
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.68%E -2.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:58
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.97%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 23:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -10.55%E -5.07%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -3.68%E -2.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%5.0%2026-05-08 23:19