The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Baylor Bears v UCF Knights

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baylor Bears (Local)

Prediction 36.05%2.77fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.54%36.23%35.97%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.592.602.6540.00%38.54%38.46%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCF Knights (Visit)

Prediction 63.95%1.56fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -8.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.77%64.03%64.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.471.471.5069.44%67.99%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baylor Bears (Local): 36.05%; UCF Knights (Visit): 63.95%. For UCF Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -4.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.08%E -2.72%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 16:45
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.00%E -4.08%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 15:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.18%E -1.97%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 17:54
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.08%E -2.72%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.36%E -3.62%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 15:29
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 16:40
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 16:40
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 16:40
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.26%E -2.41%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -17.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 16:49
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -9.51%E -3.79%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 17:49
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.87%E -3.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.08%E -2.72%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 05:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.61I 38.31%NM 35.24%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.76%8.7%2026-05-10 17:19