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Baylor Bears v TCU Horned Frogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baylor Bears (Local)
assuming max odds 2.17
TCU Horned Frogs (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.71
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baylor Bears (Local): 44.71%; TCU Horned Frogs (Visit): 55.29%. For Baylor Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.17, with an expected value of -2.99%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -2.99%E -1.38%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -10.42%E -6.44%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 16:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -2.99%E -1.38%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -10.42%E -6.44%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -2.99%E -1.38%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -10.42%E -6.44%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.66%E -4.59%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.11%E -4.23%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 15:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 13:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.55%E -3.88%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 04:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.55%E -3.88%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.66%E -4.59%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.56%E -3.14%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 13:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.56%E -3.14%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 13:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.46%E -3.60%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |