Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.48
assuming max odds 2.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baylor Bears (Local): 65.48%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 34.52%. For BYU Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.897. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.900, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.119%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.95%E -8.05%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +0.119%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.95%E -8.05%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +0.119%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.95%E -8.05%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +0.119%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.68%E -5.45%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -1.26%E -0.441%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 19:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -8.99%E -6.47%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -1.95%E -0.688%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 19:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.10%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 15:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 15:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.37%E -4.45%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 15:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -6.37%E -4.45%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.13%E -2.65%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -7.82%E -2.93%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -7.82%E -2.93%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 15:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.24%E -3.94%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 19:40 |