Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.81
assuming max odds 2.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baylor Bears (Local): 53.65%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 46.35%. For Baylor Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.81, with an expected value of -2.90%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.90%E -1.60%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.37%E -3.15%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 23:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 23:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.30%E -3.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.30%E -3.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 23:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -10.08%E -5.19%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-20 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -5.44%E -2.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -5.44%E -2.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -5.44%E -2.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 2.4% | 2026-05-20 23:29 |