Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers v Winthrop Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 76.95%1.30fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -3.70%
Kelly -19.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.93%77.07%76.92%78.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.221.221.2483.33%82.10%81.97%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winthrop Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 23.05%4.34fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.326%
Kelly +0.422%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.43%22.93%23.08%24.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.884.024.004.4025.77%24.88%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 76.95%; Winthrop Eagles (Visit): 23.05%. For Winthrop Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.66%E -6.39%K -38.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.44%E +0.326%K +0.422%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-06 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.66%E -6.39%K -38.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.18%E -0.756%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 23:25
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.48%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 21:25
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 17:50
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:30
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:30
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.39%K -38.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.09%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 18:55
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.09%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 18:55
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.09%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 18:55
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -5.36%E -4.35%K -23.29%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -10.55%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 21:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 78.25%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.75%4.7%2026-03-06 23:49