Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.12
assuming max odds 1.78
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 46.95%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 53.05%. For Auburn Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -0.467%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -0.467%E -0.220%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -12.47%E -7.56%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -0.467%E -0.220%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -12.47%E -7.56%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 16:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -0.467%E -0.220%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -12.47%E -7.56%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -1.88%E -0.897%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -9.28%E -5.43%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -1.88%E -0.897%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -9.28%E -5.43%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 16:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.28%E -5.43%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -4.69%E -2.31%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%EV -10.34%E -6.12%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |