The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Auburn Tigers v Samford Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 77.35%1.29fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -13.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.25%77.30%77.65%79.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.211.201.2584.75%82.64%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samford Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 22.65%4.41fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.429%
Kelly +0.552%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%22.70%22.35%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.144.104.5026.32%24.18%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 77.35%; Samford Bulldogs (Visit): 22.65%. For Samford Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.18%E -5.98%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.93%E +0.429%K +0.552%G +0.011%5.6%2026-03-03 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.18%E -5.98%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.93%E +0.429%K +0.552%G +0.011%5.6%2026-03-03 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.18%E -5.98%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.93%E +0.429%K +0.552%G +0.011%5.6%2026-03-03 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.96%E -6.69%K -41.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +1.93%E +0.429%K +0.552%G +0.011%6.3%2026-03-03 20:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.41%E -5.30%K -30.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.73%E -0.878%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.18%E -5.98%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.86%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.73%E -7.40%K -48.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.13%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.73%E -7.40%K -48.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.13%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 16:50
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.73%E -7.40%K -48.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.13%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 16:50
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.39%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 16:15
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.18%E -5.98%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.39%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -3.31%E -2.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -13.02%E -3.39%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -3.31%E -2.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -13.02%E -3.39%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.31%E -2.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -13.92%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 23:45
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.92%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 04:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.