The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Auburn Tigers v Louisville Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 51.11%1.96fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -5.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.23%51.48%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.811.801.8759.17%55.29%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 48.89%2.05fair odd
EV +2.68%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +2.43%
Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%48.77%48.52%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.921.912.1055.25%52.17%52.36%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 51.11%; Louisville Cardinals (Visit): 48.89%. For Louisville Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -13.63%E -8.06%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV +2.68%E +1.27%K +2.43%G +0.065%6.8%2026-02-22 14:53
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.54%E -5.39%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.21%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.54%E -5.39%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.21%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 14:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 14:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -9.54%E -5.39%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 16:25
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 16:10
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 16:09
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 16:09
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.14%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.00%EV -11.50%E -6.36%K -14.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.