Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 59.35%1.68fair odd
EV +0.303%
Edge +0.179%
Kelly +0.438%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.76%59.15%59.59%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.571.6966.67%63.31%63.69%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 40.65%2.46fair odd
EV -0.409%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.282%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%40.85%40.41%44.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.312.312.4546.95%43.33%43.29%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 59.35%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 40.65%. For Auburn Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.303%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV +0.303%E +0.179%K +0.438%G +0.001%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -13.42%E -6.30%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV +0.303%E +0.179%K +0.438%G +0.001%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -13.42%E -6.30%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -8.95%E -3.99%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 23:54
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 23:49
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.32%E -3.21%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 16:39
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 23:54
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 23:35
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 04:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 23:55
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.10%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.10%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:55
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 23:44
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.97%E -7.32%K -21.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -0.409%E -0.167%K -0.282%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 16:49
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.97%E -7.32%K -21.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -0.409%E -0.167%K -0.282%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 16:45
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.97%E -7.32%K -21.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -0.409%E -0.167%K -0.282%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%5.2%2026-04-11 23:54