The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Auburn Tigers v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 60.69%1.65fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -4.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%60.73%60.61%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.531.6066.67%64.85%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 39.31%2.54fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.27%39.39%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.402.402.4843.48%41.73%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 60.69%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 39.31%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -2.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.89%E -1.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 18:15
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.50%E -2.20%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.50%E -2.20%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 18:25
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:40
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 16:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.53%E -4.24%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 12:30
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.53%E -4.24%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 17:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.14%E -4.67%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.14%E -4.67%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 18:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.14%E -4.67%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.14%E -4.67%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.14%E -4.67%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 08:54
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.14%E -4.67%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.63%E -3.25%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 11:08
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.75%E -5.10%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -2.52%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.96%E -5.97%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.96%E -5.97%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:40
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.96%E -5.97%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20