Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers v Georgia Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 49.12%2.04fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.884%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%49.07%49.20%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.40%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 50.88%1.97fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.93%50.80%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.831.831.9156.50%54.55%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 49.12%; Georgia Bulldogs (Visit): 50.88%. For Auburn Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -1.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.93%E -5.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.93%E -5.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 15:45
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.93%E -5.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 15:50
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 15:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 17:20
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 15:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 15:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 17:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 18:45
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 17:20
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 17:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 17:20
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.