The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Arkansas St Red Wolves v Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local)

Prediction 37.35%2.68fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.816%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.10%37.26%37.36%38.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.512.502.6240.82%39.81%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 62.65%1.60fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -7.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.96%62.74%62.64%63.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.501.501.5368.03%66.69%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local): 37.35%; Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit): 62.65%. For Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.62, with an expected value of -2.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.14%E -0.816%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 14:50
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 14:39
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.13%E -2.02%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -5.50%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -5.50%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -6.25%E -2.49%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:09
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:50
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 14:39
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 14:30
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 14:55
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 14:40
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -8.11%E -3.30%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -5.40%E -3.58%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:50
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.49%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.91%E -5.38%K -16.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%4.9%2026-03-15 16:50