The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Arkansas St Red Wolves v Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local)

Prediction 32.23%3.10fair odd
EV +3.79%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.71%
Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.23%31.82%32.43%33.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.903.2235.71%33.96%34.48%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 67.77%1.48fair odd
EV -5.12%
Edge -3.66%
Kelly -12.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.82%68.18%67.57%70.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.371.4075.19%72.87%72.99%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local): 32.23%; Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit): 67.77%. For Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV +3.79%E +1.18%K +1.71%G +0.065%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -9.87%E -7.42%K -29.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV +3.79%E +1.18%K +1.71%G +0.065%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -9.87%E -7.42%K -29.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 20:00
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.48%E -4.70%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.84%E -5.76%K -21.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 20:04
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.84%E -5.76%K -21.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.84%E -5.76%K -21.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.84%E -5.76%K -21.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 17:35
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.84%E -5.76%K -21.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 17:14
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.12%E -3.66%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 17:04
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.12%E -3.66%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 16:05
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.12%E -3.66%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 16:39
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.12%E -3.66%K -12.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 17:03
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.48%E -4.70%K -17.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:40
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.48%E -4.70%K -17.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:40
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.48%E -4.70%K -17.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:40
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.84%E -5.76%K -21.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 17:10
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -5.12%E -3.66%K -12.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 20:15
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.84%E -5.76%K -21.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%8.4%2026-03-13 22:50