The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Arkansas St Red Wolves v Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local)

Prediction 35.60%2.81fair odd
EV +3.24%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.71%
Growth +0.055%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%35.95%36.10%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.572.502.9044.44%38.88%40.00%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 64.40%1.55fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.705%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%64.05%63.90%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.481.5771.43%67.76%67.57%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local): 35.60%; Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit): 64.40%. For Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.24%E +1.12%K +1.71%G +0.055%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.84%E -7.03%K -24.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV +0.037%E +0.013%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -8.55%E -6.02%K -20.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV +0.037%E +0.013%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -8.55%E -6.02%K -20.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.319%E -0.114%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.55%E -6.02%K -20.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.10%E -0.763%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.55%E -6.02%K -20.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.10%E -0.763%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.55%E -6.02%K -20.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.88%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.91%E -5.53%K -18.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 22:05
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -6.73%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.69%E -3.17%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 22:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.27%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.27%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.27%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.69%E -3.17%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:00
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.91%E -5.53%K -18.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 22:15
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -17.05%E -7.32%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV +0.463%E +0.297%K +0.827%G +0.004%7.0%2026-03-14 16:05
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -19.90%E -8.84%K -15.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV +1.11%E +0.705%K +1.94%G +0.022%8.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -19.90%E -8.84%K -15.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV +1.11%E +0.705%K +1.94%G +0.022%8.1%2026-03-14 14:15
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -19.90%E -8.84%K -15.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV +1.11%E +0.705%K +1.94%G +0.022%8.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.83%8.4%2026-03-14 22:45