Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.81
assuming max odds 1.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local): 36.87%; Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit): 63.13%. For Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.59%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV +3.59%E +1.28%K +1.98%G +0.071% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -10.35%E -7.29%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +1.38%E +0.502%K +0.788%G +0.011% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -10.35%E -7.29%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.464%E -0.172%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.45%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.871%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 16:23 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -5.26%E -2.05%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 21:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -6.73%E -2.66%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 17:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 17:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.26%E -5.15%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 16:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.26%E -5.15%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.26%E -5.15%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -13.00%E -5.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 16:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 22:45 |