Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas St Red Wolves v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local)

Prediction 37.42%2.67fair odd
EV +1.40%
Edge +0.518%
Kelly +0.821%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%37.35%37.50%39.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.502.7141.67%39.48%40.00%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit)

Prediction 62.58%1.60fair odd
EV -0.496%
Edge -0.312%
Kelly -0.840%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.15%62.65%62.50%65.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.501.5969.93%67.00%66.67%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local): 37.42%; Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit): 62.58%. For Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV +1.40%E +0.518%K +0.821%G +0.012%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV +1.40%E +0.518%K +0.821%G +0.012%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 22:40
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +1.03%E +0.382%K +0.606%G +0.006%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:40
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.840%E -0.317%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.26%E -6.38%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 22:40
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.96%E -0.749%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -7.38%E -4.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.38%E -4.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -5.70%E -2.26%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -6.75%E -4.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 22:38
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 22:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 22:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.38%E -4.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 22:35
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.32%E -3.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 16:54
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -9.07%E -3.73%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -4.88%E -3.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 22:44
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -9.07%E -3.73%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 22:40
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -9.07%E -3.73%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 22:40
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -9.07%E -3.73%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 22:40
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -10.20%E -4.25%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.496%E -0.312%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%5.2%2026-04-11 22:35