The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Arkansas Razorbacks v Xavier Musketeers

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 83.54%1.20fair odd
EV -5.60%
Edge -4.95%
Kelly -43.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.11%83.60%83.46%84.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.121.1390.91%89.61%89.29%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Xavier Musketeers (Visit)

Prediction 16.46%6.08fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.251%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.61%16.40%16.54%17.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.055.685.706.0019.80%17.60%17.54%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 83.54%; Xavier Musketeers (Visit): 16.46%. For Xavier Musketeers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.00, with an expected value of -1.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.60%E -4.95%K -43.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -6.19%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 12:14
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.43%E -5.74%K -53.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.25%E -0.209%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 00:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.43%E -5.74%K -53.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.37%E -0.934%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.43%E -5.74%K -53.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.37%E -0.934%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 17:15
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.43%E -5.74%K -53.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.48%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 16:50
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.43%E -5.74%K -53.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.48%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 13:05
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.43%E -5.74%K -53.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.48%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.43%E -5.74%K -53.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.48%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 16:45
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.43%E -5.74%K -53.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.48%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 16:45
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.27%E -6.55%K -66.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.25%E -0.209%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.27%E -6.55%K -66.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.25%E -0.209%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.27%E -6.55%K -66.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.25%E -0.209%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 16:25
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.27%E -6.55%K -66.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.25%E -0.209%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 03:39
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.27%E -6.55%K -66.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -9.48%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 10:59
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.11%EV -8.10%E -7.37%K -81.04%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.89%EV -16.89%E -3.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.