The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Arkansas Razorbacks v UT-Arlington Mavericks

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 86.05%1.16fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -4.04%
Kelly -40.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.95%86.12%85.75%87.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.091.081.1193.46%92.07%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 13.95%7.17fair odd
EV +4.62%
Edge +0.616%
Kelly +0.710%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.59%13.88%14.25%16.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.656.636.607.5017.70%15.07%15.15%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 86.05%; UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit): 13.95%. For UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.06%E -6.54%K -88.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +4.62%E +0.616%K +0.710%G +0.033%5.9%2026-02-28 14:40
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.06%E -6.54%K -88.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.06%E -6.54%K -88.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.06%E -6.54%K -88.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.93%E -7.41%K -113.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.393%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.20%E -5.69%K -68.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -5.84%E -0.866%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:45
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.34%E -4.86%K -53.44%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -7.94%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.48%E -4.04%K -40.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.33%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 02:29
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.06%E -6.54%K -88.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.33%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:46
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.20%E -5.69%K -68.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -12.82%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:45
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.20%E -5.69%K -68.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -12.82%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.20%E -5.69%K -68.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -12.82%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:45
1xBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.95%EV -7.06%E -6.54%K -88.31%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.05%EV -21.19%E -3.75%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 19:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.