Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Tennessee Volunteers

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 21:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 48.40%2.07fair odd
EV -5.14%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -5.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%48.83%48.33%52.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.891.911.9656.18%52.79%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee Volunteers (Visit)

Prediction 51.60%1.94fair odd
EV +0.106%
Edge +0.055%
Kelly +0.113%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.85%51.17%51.67%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.841.831.9455.56%54.23%54.79%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 48.40%; Tennessee Volunteers (Visit): 51.60%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.938. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.940, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.106%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -13.85%E -7.78%K -17.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV +0.106%E +0.055%K +0.113%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -13.85%E -7.78%K -17.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV +0.106%E +0.055%K +0.113%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 21:29
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -13.85%E -7.78%K -17.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV +0.106%E +0.055%K +0.113%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 21:30
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.755%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 21:22
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.43%E -6.25%K -13.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.44%E -0.755%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 21:29
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 21:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 21:30
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 21:30
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.09%E -3.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -8.53%E -4.51%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -6.60%E -3.65%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 21:28
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 21:30
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 21:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 21:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%11.3%2026-05-20 21:30