Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Stetson Hatters

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 84.50%1.18fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -4.79%
Kelly -44.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.21%84.62%84.51%86.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.101.1291.74%90.43%90.50%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stetson Hatters (Visit)

Prediction 15.50%6.45fair odd
EV +8.53%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.121%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.47%15.38%15.49%16.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.116.007.0018.18%16.36%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 84.50%; Stetson Hatters (Visit): 15.50%. For Stetson Hatters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.90%E -7.25%K -87.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.53%E +1.22%K +1.42%G +0.121%6.0%2026-03-06 18:20
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.05%E -6.41%K -70.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.777%E +0.120%K +0.141%G +0.001%6.3%2026-03-06 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.21%E -5.59%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -3.10%E -0.496%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.36%E -4.79%K -44.71%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -3.87%E -0.625%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.36%E -4.79%K -44.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.97%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 14:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.21%E -5.59%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.97%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.05%E -6.41%K -70.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.97%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.05%E -6.41%K -70.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.97%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.05%E -6.41%K -70.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.97%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 18:30
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.05%E -6.41%K -70.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.97%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 18:30
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.14%EV -6.21%E -5.59%K -56.45%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 15.86%EV -8.68%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:30
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.21%E -5.59%K -56.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.73%E -2.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 86.57%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.43%5.0%2026-03-06 18:45