Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Stetson Hatters

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 82.41%1.21fair odd
EV -5.23%
Edge -4.55%
Kelly -34.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.43%82.42%82.54%83.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.141.141.1589.29%87.98%87.72%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stetson Hatters (Visit)

Prediction 17.59%5.68fair odd
EV +0.270%
Edge +0.047%
Kelly +0.057%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.54%17.58%17.46%18.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.295.305.7020.00%18.90%18.87%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 82.41%; Stetson Hatters (Visit): 17.59%. For Stetson Hatters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.270%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.88%E -6.09%K -52.91%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +0.270%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.05%E -5.31%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.25%E -0.591%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 16:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.05%E -5.31%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.25%E -0.591%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.70%E -6.88%K -64.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.25%E -0.591%K -0.722%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 16:09
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.88%EV -6.88%E -6.09%K -52.91%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.12%EV -3.78%E -0.690%K -0.845%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -6.05%E -5.31%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -5.18%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -6.05%E -5.31%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -5.18%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 15:59
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.05%E -5.31%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.77%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 00:37
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.23%E -4.55%K -34.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.53%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.05%E -5.31%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.53%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 16:25
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.05%E -5.31%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.53%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 15:54
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.05%E -5.31%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.04%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 14:09
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.05%E -5.31%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.04%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 14:15
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.05%E -5.31%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.04%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 14:14
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.70%E -6.88%K -64.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.04%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 16:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 83.53%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.47%5.0%2026-03-09 16:10