Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Stetson Hatters

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

87%

13%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 86.51%1.16fair odd

EV -2.24%

Edge -1.98%

Kelly -17.24%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

83.58%86.24%86.69%88.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.071.081.081.1393.46%92.26%92.59%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stetson Hatters (Visit)

Prediction 13.49%7.41fair odd

EV +9.66%

Edge +1.19%

Kelly +1.35%

Growth +0.131%

assuming max odds 8.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.63%13.76%13.31%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.756.917.008.1317.39%14.48%14.29%12.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 86.51%; Stetson Hatters (Visit): 13.49%. For Stetson Hatters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.41. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.37%EV -7.43%E -6.95%K -106.17%G +0.000%	8.13I 12.30%NM 11.63%EV +9.66%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.131%	5.8%	2026-03-07 16:24
LowVig.ag🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.37%EV -7.43%E -6.95%K -106.17%G +0.000%	8.13I 12.30%NM 11.63%EV +9.66%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.131%	5.8%	2026-03-07 16:24
BetUS🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -7.43%E -6.95%K -106.17%G +0.000%	7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +4.53%E +0.585%K +0.671%G +0.030%	6.4%	2026-03-07 18:39
DraftKings🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.70%E -5.23%K -63.35%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.16%E +0.155%K +0.178%G +0.002%	5.1%	2026-03-07 16:24
Bovada🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.43%E -6.95%K -106.17%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +1.16%E +0.155%K +0.178%G +0.002%	6.8%	2026-03-07 16:47
FanDuel🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -6.57%E -6.08%K -82.09%G +0.000%	7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -1.54%E -0.211%K -0.244%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-07 16:30
888sport🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.57%E -6.08%K -82.09%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.58%E -0.798%K -0.931%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-07 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.57%E -6.08%K -82.09%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.58%E -0.798%K -0.931%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-07 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.57%E -6.08%K -82.09%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.58%E -0.798%K -0.931%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-07 15:59
theScore Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.43%E -6.95%K -106.17%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -5.58%E -0.798%K -0.931%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-07 16:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.84%E -4.40%K -48.37%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.33%E -1.90%K -2.24%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-07 14:34
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.70%E -5.23%K -63.35%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -13.68%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-07 16:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.57%E -6.08%K -82.09%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -13.68%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-07 14:29
BetRivers🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.57%E -6.08%K -82.09%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -13.68%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-07 14:34
betPARX🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.57%E -6.08%K -82.09%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -13.68%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-07 14:34
1xBet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.85%EV -4.84%E -4.40%K -48.37%G +0.000%	6.16I 16.23%NM 15.15%EV -16.91%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-07 19:34
Betway🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.70%E -5.23%K -63.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -19.07%E -3.18%K -3.81%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-03-07 14:34
BetMGM🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.24%E -1.98%K -17.24%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -22.44%E -3.90%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-07 04:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.27%	8.13I 12.30%NM 11.73%	4.9%	2026-03-07 19:44