Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Ole Miss Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 55.64%1.80fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -5.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%55.48%55.73%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.691.691.7359.88%59.02%59.17%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 44.36%2.25fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.52%44.27%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1650.00%47.66%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 55.64%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 44.36%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.73, with an expected value of -3.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:50
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:50
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 16:35
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.52%E -2.59%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.52%E -2.59%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:00
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 16:10
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -7.29%E -3.49%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -4.19%E -1.94%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 18:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -6.41%E -3.04%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 18:53
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 17:19
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-05-03 17:40