Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Ole Miss Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 52.13%1.92fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -5.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.20%52.08%54.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8358.82%55.90%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 47.87%2.09fair odd
EV -0.915%
Edge -0.442%
Kelly -0.855%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.09%47.80%47.92%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.951.952.0752.36%51.25%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 52.13%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 47.87%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.07, with an expected value of -0.915%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 17:05
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 15:34
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 15:38
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 21:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 17:04
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 15:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.20%E -4.05%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.14%E -3.68%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:19
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.20%E -4.05%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.14%E -3.68%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:20
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.20%E -4.05%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.14%E -3.68%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:19
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.72%E -4.36%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:15
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.72%E -4.36%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -11.37%E -6.69%K -16.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -0.915%E -0.442%K -0.855%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 17:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%5.0%2026-05-01 21:05