Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 60.74%1.65fair odd

EV -3.43%

Edge -2.16%

Kelly -5.81%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.54%61.05%60.89%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.481.541.541.5967.57%64.81%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 39.26%2.55fair odd

EV +2.09%

Edge +0.802%

Kelly +1.30%

Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.27%38.95%39.11%40.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.372.352.6043.48%42.13%42.55%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 60.74%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 39.26%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.11%E -6.83%K -21.06%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.09%E +0.802%K +1.30%G +0.027%	6.0%	2026-05-08 15:00
FanDuel🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.51%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-08 14:04
BetMGM🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-08 14:04
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-08 05:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-08 05:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-08 05:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-08 03:59
Bovada🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-08 03:23
BetRivers🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -8.52%E -3.65%K -6.40%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-08 14:04
Bally Bet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -8.52%E -3.65%K -6.40%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-08 14:05
betPARX🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -8.52%E -3.65%K -6.40%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-08 14:05
1xBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -9.30%E -4.03%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-08 13:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.46%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-05-08 02:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%	2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%	8.1%	2026-05-08 15:08