Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 62.61%1.60fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -6.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.91%62.72%62.81%65.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.501.5469.93%66.83%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 37.39%2.67fair odd
EV +0.962%
Edge +0.356%
Kelly +0.566%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%37.28%37.19%39.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.522.502.7041.67%39.64%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 62.61%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 37.39%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.962%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.22%E -6.36%K -20.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +0.962%E +0.356%K +0.566%G +0.005%6.0%2026-05-08 17:09
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -10.47%E -7.32%K -24.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +0.962%E +0.356%K +0.566%G +0.005%7.0%2026-05-08 17:38
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.908%E -0.343%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 19:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 17:34
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.02%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 17:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -6.72%E -4.51%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 16:49
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 17:14
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 17:14
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.34%E -4.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:43
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.34%E -4.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:45
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.34%E -4.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:44
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.34%E -4.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -8.01%E -3.26%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -8.01%E -3.26%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 20:04
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -5.46%E -3.62%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -8.01%E -3.26%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 20:49
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 20:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%5.0%2026-05-08 20:49