Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Missouri St Bears

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 69.26%1.44fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -7.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.39%68.89%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.76%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri St Bears (Visit)

Prediction 30.74%3.25fair odd
EV +4.51%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.085%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%30.61%31.11%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.073.003.4035.09%32.61%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 69.26%; Missouri St Bears (Visit): 30.74%. For Missouri St Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.88%E -5.93%K -23.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.51%E +1.33%K +1.88%G +0.085%4.6%2026-05-29 21:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.30%EV -8.57%E -6.50%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.70%EV +0.819%E +0.250%K +0.359%G +0.003%6.2%2026-05-29 21:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.30%EV -8.57%E -6.50%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.70%EV +0.819%E +0.250%K +0.359%G +0.003%6.2%2026-05-29 21:49
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.88%E -5.93%K -23.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.103%E -0.032%K -0.046%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 17:49
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -8.57%E -6.50%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -2.25%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 21:39
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.19%E -5.36%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 21:49
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -3.73%E -2.68%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -5.33%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 21:47
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 19:49
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.80%E -4.27%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.80%E -4.27%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.80%E -4.27%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 15:30
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.50%E -4.81%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 20:09
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.50%E -4.81%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 20:09
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.50%E -4.81%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 20:09
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -3.73%E -2.68%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -8.40%E -2.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.03%E -2.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.86%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 19:49
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.86%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 19:46
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -5.80%E -4.27%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -12.40%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 16:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%8.3%2026-05-29 21:39