Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Kansas Jayhawks

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 53.52%1.87fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -4.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.97%53.48%58.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.731.741.8062.11%57.80%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas Jayhawks (Visit)

Prediction 46.48%2.15fair odd
EV +5.96%
Edge +2.62%
Kelly +4.66%
Growth +0.278%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.39%46.03%46.52%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.002.2851.28%49.00%50.00%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 53.52%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 46.48%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -13.83%E -8.59%K -22.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +5.96%E +2.62%K +4.66%G +0.278%6.0%2026-05-31 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -13.83%E -8.59%K -22.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +5.96%E +2.62%K +4.66%G +0.278%6.0%2026-05-31 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.87%E -3.95%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.26%E -2.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.87%E -3.95%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 21:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.73%E -2.66%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.58%E -3.28%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 22:00
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 21:50
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 21:50
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 21:49
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 21:59
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 21:56
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.87%E -3.95%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 21:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.