Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Georgia Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -5.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.39%51.07%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.821.831.8757.47%54.96%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 48.93%2.04fair odd
EV +0.306%
Edge +0.149%
Kelly +0.291%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%48.61%48.93%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.912.0554.64%52.13%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 51.07%; Georgia Bulldogs (Visit): 48.93%. For Georgia Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.306%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.14%E -6.40%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.306%E +0.149%K +0.291%G +0.001%6.3%2026-04-18 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:09
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.07%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 17:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.07%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 17:05
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.07%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 17:08
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 16:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.07%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.07%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.07%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:49
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:50
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 16:45
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%3.7%2026-04-18 17:30