Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.87
assuming max odds 2.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 52.81%; Georgia Bulldogs (Visit): 47.19%. For Georgia Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.906%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.24%E -0.663%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.76%E -6.29%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 21:42 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.24%E -0.663%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.76%E -6.29%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 21:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -9.87%E -5.17%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 15:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.94%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.94%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 17:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -5.47%E -3.05%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.99%E -3.37%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -6.10%E -3.06%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 21:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -7.05%E -4.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -7.05%E -4.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -7.05%E -4.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 21:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.11%E -4.66%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 21:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.11%E -4.66%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 20:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 20:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 20:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.69%E -5.67%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.906%E -0.432%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -9.69%E -5.67%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -1.38%E -0.660%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -9.69%E -5.67%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -1.38%E -0.660%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 21:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |