Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Arkansas St Red Wolves

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 84.25%1.19fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -3.47%
Kelly -28.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.81%84.06%84.27%86.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.111.1491.74%90.14%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas St Red Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 15.75%6.35fair odd
EV +6.34%
Edge +0.939%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.90%15.94%15.73%17.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.926.006.7519.05%16.90%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 84.25%; Arkansas St Red Wolves (Visit): 15.75%. For Arkansas St Red Wolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -8.17%E -7.50%K -90.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +6.34%E +0.939%K +1.10%G +0.070%6.6%2026-02-25 08:08
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.49%E -5.84%K -58.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -1.54%E -0.246%K -0.293%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 03:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.49%E -5.84%K -58.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -1.54%E -0.246%K -0.293%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 00:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 12:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 12:54
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.49%E -5.84%K -58.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 02:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.49%E -5.84%K -58.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 02:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.49%E -5.84%K -58.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 02:55
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.33%E -6.66%K -73.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.33%E -6.66%K -73.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.63%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 18:39
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.33%E -6.66%K -73.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.63%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 18:39
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.33%E -6.66%K -73.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.63%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 18:39
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.03%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.20%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.96%E -3.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 18:54
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.49%E -5.84%K -58.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 17:14
1xBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.81%EV -8.17%E -7.50%K -90.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -17.29%E -3.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-25 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.