Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans v Troy Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 19:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local)

Prediction 31.33%3.19fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.557%
Kelly +0.804%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%31.32%31.28%32.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.993.003.2535.09%33.42%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Troy Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 68.67%1.46fair odd
EV -5.23%
Edge -3.79%
Kelly -13.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.38%68.68%68.72%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.371.371.3874.63%73.21%73.26%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local): 31.33%; Troy Trojans (Visit): 68.67%. For Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.81%E +0.557%K +0.804%G +0.015%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:51
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.070%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 18:55
Pinnacle🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -3.83%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 18:59
BetUS🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -5.08%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -5.40%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -5.40%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 18:59
MyBookie.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -5.40%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 18:59
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 18:59
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 18:59
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 18:59
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 18:59
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 18:58
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 18:59
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.72%E -3.76%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 19:00
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.72%E -3.76%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 19:00
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.72%E -3.76%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 19:00
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.72%E -3.76%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-06 18:59
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -10.72%E -3.76%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -7.98%E -5.95%K -23.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-06 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%6.7%2026-06-06 19:00