Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans v Jacksonville St Gamecocks

Kickoff: 2026-06-01 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local)

Prediction 28.76%3.48fair odd
EV +1.82%
Edge +0.515%
Kelly +0.718%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.01%28.86%28.57%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.5433.33%30.78%30.77%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Visit)

Prediction 71.24%1.40fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -8.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%71.14%71.43%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.321.3676.92%75.39%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local): 28.76%; Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Visit): 71.24%. For Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV +1.82%E +0.515%K +0.718%G +0.013%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 00:00
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.20%E -0.648%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 00:20
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.20%E -0.648%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 23:50
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 23:50
MyBookie.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 28.98%EV -6.23%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 23:39
Caesars🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 00:40
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 23:50
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 23:49
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 23:50
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.54%E -3.39%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 00:40
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 00:38
BetOnline.ag🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -11.12%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -11.12%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 00:40
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-01 00:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 33.51%1.26I 79.37%NM 66.49%19.4%2026-06-01 00:50