Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats v Vanderbilt Commodores

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 27.47%3.64fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.441%
Kelly +0.604%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%27.43%27.30%29.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.403.503.7032.05%29.37%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit)

Prediction 72.53%1.38fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -3.23%
Kelly -13.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.75%72.57%72.70%74.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.291.291.3279.37%77.52%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 27.47%; Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit): 72.53%. For Arizona Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +1.63%E +0.441%K +0.604%G +0.010%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.88%E -6.21%K -29.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 23:55
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV +0.257%E +0.070%K +0.097%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -8.61%E -6.83%K -33.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 23:49
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.12%E -0.310%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.43%E -4.99%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 14:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -2.76%E -0.781%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -6.43%E -4.99%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -2.76%E -0.781%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -6.43%E -4.99%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 20:04
BetUS🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -3.04%E -0.861%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.54%EV -7.88%E -6.21%K -29.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 23:54
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.43%E -4.99%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 23:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.43%E -4.99%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.43%E -4.99%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 23:49
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 22:39
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.26%E -3.23%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 22:38
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.71%E -4.39%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 22:39
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.99%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 22:29
Bally Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.99%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 22:29
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.99%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 22:29
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.25%EV -14.30%E -4.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -6.43%E -4.99%K -22.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 22:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.