Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats v Oregon Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

34%

66%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 33.60%2.98fair odd

EV +0.794%

Edge +0.265%

Kelly +0.397%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.19%33.48%33.73%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.662.792.753.0037.59%35.86%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 66.40%1.51fair odd

EV -3.72%

Edge -2.56%

Kelly -8.26%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.06%66.52%66.27%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.401.401.4573.53%71.55%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 33.60%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 66.40%. For Arizona Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.794%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +0.794%E +0.265%K +0.397%G +0.003%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.03%E -6.59%K -24.40%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-27 22:33
Bovada🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.794%E +0.265%K +0.397%G +0.003%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.69%E -7.13%K -26.93%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-02-27 22:47
BetMGM🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.57%E -0.885%K -1.35%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.04%E -5.03%K -17.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-27 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.25%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.54%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-28 01:44
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.25%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.54%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-28 01:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.25%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.37%E -6.06%K -22.01%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-27 22:34
BetUS🎯	2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.54%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-27 22:34
888sport🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.04%E -5.03%K -17.59%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-27 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.04%E -5.03%K -17.59%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-27 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.04%E -5.03%K -17.59%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-27 23:19
Betway🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.04%E -5.03%K -17.59%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-27 22:40
FanDuel🎯	2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -8.61%E -3.17%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -4.38%E -3.04%K -9.96%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-27 22:34
theScore Bet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.72%E -2.56%K -8.26%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-27 22:39
BetRivers🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -8.37%E -6.06%K -22.01%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-02-27 22:34
betPARX🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -8.37%E -6.06%K -22.01%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-02-27 22:34
Bally Bet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -8.37%E -6.06%K -22.01%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-02-27 22:34
1xBet🎯	2.66I 37.59%NM 34.32%EV -10.63%E -4.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 65.68%EV -7.70%E -5.54%K -19.75%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-02-27 22:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.