The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Arizona Wildcats v New Mexico St Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-05-07 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 69.48%1.44fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -10.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%69.50%69.49%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.351.3875.19%73.70%73.80%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Mexico St Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 30.52%3.28fair odd
EV -0.818%
Edge -0.252%
Kelly -0.364%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%30.50%30.51%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.043.023.2534.48%32.90%33.06%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 69.48%; New Mexico St Aggies (Visit): 30.52%. For New Mexico St Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -0.818%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -4.11%E -2.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -8.75%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -4.11%E -2.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -8.75%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 17:55
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.11%E -2.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:00
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.11%E -2.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.81%E -3.51%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 00:45
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.818%E -0.252%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 00:44
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.20%E -4.59%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 13:49
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -6.20%E -4.59%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -7.53%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -6.20%E -4.59%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -7.84%E -2.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.89%E -5.14%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.34%E -0.732%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 14:14
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.89%E -5.14%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.89%E -5.14%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 17:10
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.89%E -5.14%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 17:10
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.59%E -5.71%K -22.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%3.4%2026-05-07 00:45