Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats v Kansas St Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 36.12%2.77fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.914%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.78%36.13%35.68%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.592.602.7040.00%38.66%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas St Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 63.88%1.57fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.87%64.32%65.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.471.5369.93%68.06%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 36.12%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 63.88%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.53, with an expected value of -2.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.47%E -0.914%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:05
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.10%E -4.15%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 16:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.38%E -5.09%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 19:04
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.18%E -2.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 16:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.74%E -4.62%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:09
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 16:00
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.66%E -6.05%K -20.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 20:55
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.66%E -6.05%K -20.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 20:55
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.66%E -6.05%K -20.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 20:55
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.89%E -3.09%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.27%E -1.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 17:09
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.89%E -3.09%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.46%E -3.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 16:03
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.25%E -3.25%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.46%E -3.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -8.61%E -3.40%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.18%E -2.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -8.61%E -3.40%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.18%E -2.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 17:10
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.18%E -2.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 17:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.85%8.6%2026-04-19 00:50