The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Arizona Wildcats v Kansas St Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 34.89%2.87fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.65%34.94%39.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.392.632.672.8041.84%38.08%37.38%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas St Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 65.11%1.54fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +2.82%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.51%64.35%65.06%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.471.451.5670.92%68.09%68.97%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 34.89%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 65.11%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.54. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -12.79%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +1.58%E +1.01%K +2.82%G +0.044%4.1%2026-04-17 20:10
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -16.27%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV +1.58%E +1.01%K +2.82%G +0.044%5.8%2026-04-17 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -16.62%E -6.96%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV +1.58%E +1.01%K +2.82%G +0.044%5.9%2026-04-17 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -16.62%E -6.96%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV +1.58%E +1.01%K +2.82%G +0.044%5.9%2026-04-17 20:10
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.30%E -3.58%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.28%E -2.91%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 19:09
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -10.34%E -4.02%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -4.28%E -2.91%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 19:29
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.81%E -2.15%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.58%E -3.85%K -12.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 03:57
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.81%E -2.15%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.58%E -3.85%K -12.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 20:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.55%E -2.85%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.58%E -3.85%K -12.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 00:48
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.11%E -1.88%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.24%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 19:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.81%E -2.15%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.24%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 20:14
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.32%E -0.828%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.89%E -4.82%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:54
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.55%E -2.85%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.89%E -4.82%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 20:14
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.06%E -1.48%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 23:20
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.06%E -1.48%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 23:20
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.06%E -1.48%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-04-17 23:20