Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats v Kansas St Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 34.97%2.86fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.747%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%34.84%34.94%36.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.682.702.8039.22%37.35%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas St Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 65.03%1.54fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -7.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.28%65.16%65.06%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.441.451.4870.42%69.23%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 34.97%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 65.03%. For Arizona Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -2.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.09%E -0.747%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.00%E -4.90%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 12:15
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 07:15
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 02:50
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 10:45
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 14:45
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.65%E -5.39%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.65%E -5.39%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:05
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.65%E -5.39%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.94%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -7.00%E -4.90%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 13:13
LowVig.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.64%E -2.49%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.64%E -2.49%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 15:05
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.00%E -4.90%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 09:15
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -8.74%E -3.35%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -5.05%E -3.46%K -10.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 15:25
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.09%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:25
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 05:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%5.0%2026-04-19 18:55