The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Arizona Wildcats v Fresno St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 62.89%1.59fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -7.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.65%62.98%62.81%64.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.491.5369.93%67.29%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fresno St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 37.11%2.69fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.770%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.22%37.02%37.19%38.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.462.542.512.6440.65%39.34%39.84%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 62.89%; Fresno St Bulldogs (Visit): 37.11%. For Fresno St Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -2.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.23%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -8.71%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -8.71%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:25
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.03%E -3.33%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -7.97%E -3.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.66%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.74%E -2.26%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 23:20
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.66%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.23%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 02:15
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.66%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.23%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 04:46
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -6.86%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.92%E -4.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.52%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 21:42
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.92%E -4.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.37%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 21:49
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.92%E -4.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.23%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 15:59
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -7.55%E -5.14%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -2.03%E -0.770%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -10.07%E -7.04%K -23.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -2.40%E -0.914%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 21:45
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -10.07%E -7.04%K -23.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -2.40%E -0.914%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 21:45
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -10.07%E -7.04%K -23.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -2.40%E -0.914%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 21:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%5.3%2026-03-07 00:49