Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats v Fresno St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 71.92%1.39fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -10.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.48%71.92%72.19%73.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.311.301.3477.52%76.61%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fresno St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 28.08%3.56fair odd
EV -0.327%
Edge -0.092%
Kelly -0.128%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%28.08%27.81%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.183.323.353.5531.45%30.10%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 71.92%; Fresno St Bulldogs (Visit): 28.08%. For Fresno St Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -0.327%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.62%E -2.70%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -10.15%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.30%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.70%EV -7.91%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.30%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.70%EV -7.91%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:34
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 22:39
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -10.72%E -3.37%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 20:19
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.54%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -9.03%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:49
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.54%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:25
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.94%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -0.327%E -0.092%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.54%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 21:24
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.94%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 15:04
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.94%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 15:09
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.94%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 15:09
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 21:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%5.2%2026-03-08 00:29