The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Arizona Wildcats v Fresno St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 68.28%1.46fair odd
EV +5.15%
Edge +3.34%
Kelly +9.54%
Growth +0.491%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.91%68.28%68.28%70.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.331.5475.19%71.84%75.19%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fresno St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 31.72%3.15fair odd
EV +2.14%
Edge +0.665%
Kelly +0.964%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.23%31.72%31.72%39.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.943.123.2241.67%33.99%32.05%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 68.28%; Fresno St Bulldogs (Visit): 31.72%. For Arizona Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV +5.15%E +3.34%K +9.54%G +0.491%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -23.87%E -9.95%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 04:49
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.36%E -1.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -12.77%E -4.64%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV +2.14%E +0.665%K +0.964%G +0.021%6.2%2026-03-08 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV +2.14%E +0.665%K +0.964%G +0.021%6.2%2026-03-08 18:50
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -1.03%E -0.331%K -0.487%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.