Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats v Arizona St Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV +5.63%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.81%
Growth +0.102%

assuming max odds 4.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%25.86%25.85%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.683.704.1130.30%27.17%27.03%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 74.30%1.35fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -8.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.58%74.14%74.15%77.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.251.3182.64%79.44%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 25.70%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 74.30%. For Arizona Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 22.74%EV +5.63%E +1.37%K +1.81%G +0.102%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -10.10%E -8.34%K -48.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 23:10
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +0.229%E +0.059%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.87%E -6.34%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 16:55
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.34%E -0.616%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 16:20
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.63%E -0.967%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.63%E -0.967%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.63%E -0.967%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 16:00
Caesars🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 16:19
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.87%E -6.34%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 16:50
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.87%E -6.34%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 16:49
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.87%E -6.34%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.90%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.90%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 16:35
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 01:00
MyBookie.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 19:40
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 19:44
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 15:20
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -15.19%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -2.67%E -2.04%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%5.7%2026-04-02 23:58