Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats v Arizona St Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 24.86%4.02fair odd
EV +4.68%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%24.84%24.80%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.783.754.2127.78%26.46%26.67%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 75.14%1.33fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -3.61%
Kelly -16.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.23%75.16%75.20%77.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.2783.33%80.18%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 24.86%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 75.14%. For Arizona Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.18%EV +4.68%E +1.11%K +1.46%G +0.068%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.82%EV -9.84%E -8.20%K -49.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 23:14
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -0.540%E -0.135%K -0.180%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.58%E -6.17%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 21:05
Caesars🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.33%E -4.23%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -4.52%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -4.52%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 00:00
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.83%E -5.51%K -28.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 21:08
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.58%E -3.61%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 16:05
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 15:46
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 15:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.83%E -5.51%K -28.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 19:05
MyBookie.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.83%E -5.51%K -28.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 19:10
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.58%E -3.61%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 15:10
BetUS🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 23:55
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:55
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:55
Bally Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%5.0%2026-04-04 00:15